Next 4 hours
— Approximate 80% range: waiting for dataCODEX · PAID-PLAN PLATFORM-WIDE RESET
7-Day Reset Forecast
The probability of a reset within the next 168 hours.
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Current forecast
7-day reset probability
—
Probability of a reset within the next 168 hours
Approximate 80% range: waiting for data
Forecast window
Waiting for data
168 continuous hours
Authority condition: waiting for forecast
Reset-cycle anchor: waiting for forecast
Next 24 hours
— Approximate 80% range: waiting for dataNext 3 days
— Probability of a reset within the next 72 hoursNEXT 7 DAYS · HOURLY
Hourly Reset Probability
Each cell is one hour; brighter cells indicate higher probability.
Lower
Higher
Relative intensity within 7 days
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Probability of a first reset in this hour: —
Cumulative probability through this hour: —
CORE SOURCES
Tibo and Official Updates
Reset updates from Tibo and related official announcements.
Only signals known by the forecast knowledge cutoff are shown.
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EXPERIENCE AND COMPETITION
Codex Experience Impact
Real bugs, incidents, and workflow regressions ranked by impact severity rather than discussion volume.
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Competing Model Releases
Only directly relevant models and coding agents that were explicitly announced, previewed, or released.
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RAW TIMELINE
Latest Tibo Updates
Latest exact updates by publication time, including items not yet matched as forecast signals.
Raw updates are not necessarily reset signals; each item's match status determines whether it enters the forecast.
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ONGOING TRACKING
Issue Momentum
Independent evidence grouped to track an issue's state, trend, and current impact.
Impact pressure measures issue momentum, not reset probability, and should not be read as a probability.
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NEW SIGNALS
Next Forecast Run
Newly received signals will enter the next forecast.
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